Table 2

Fitted Monthly Heart Transplant Listing Rates and Rate Changes Per 100,000 Population

Pre-ACAACA Medicaid Expansion Change in Rate January 1, 2014Post-ACA
Change in Rate
Over Time
Final Rate
December 2014
Change in Rate
Over Time
Final Rate
December 2015
African AmericanEarly adopter0.001/month (–0.001 to 0.003)0.15 (0.13 to 0.18)0.05 (0.01 to 0.08)–0.00004/month (–0.002 to 0.002)0.20 (0.18 to 0.23)
Non-adopter0.001/month (–0.0005 to 0.003)0.15 (0.12 to 0.17)0.006 (–0.03 to 0.04)–0.0004/month (–0.002 to 0.001)0.15 (0.12 to 0.17)
CaucasianEarly adopter0.001/month (–0.0003 to 0.001)0.08 (0.07 to 0.09)0.004 (–0.01 to 0.02)0.0003/month (–0.0005 to 0.001)0.09 (0.08 to 0.10)
Non-adopter0.00002/month (–0.001 to 0.001)0.08 (0.07 to 0.09)0.01 (–0.001 to 0.03)–0.0006/month (–0.001 to 0.0001)0.08 (0.07 to 0.09)
HispanicEarly adopter–0.0004/month (–0.001 to 0.0003)0.03 (0.02 to 0.04)0.01 (–0.004 to 0.02)0.0004/month (–0.0003 to 0.001)0.04 (0.04 to 0.05)
Non-adopter–0.0001/month (–0.001 to 0.001)0.03 (0.02 to 0.04)0.02 (0.002 to 0.03)0.0003/month (–0.0004 to 0.001)0.05 (0.04 to 0.06)

Values are estimate (95% confidence interval).

ACA = Affordable Care Act.

  • Indicates significance for a rate change; p < 0.05.